{"id":1222,"date":"2013-12-17T00:13:41","date_gmt":"2013-12-17T05:13:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/?p=1222"},"modified":"2015-08-26T18:04:35","modified_gmt":"2015-08-26T23:04:35","slug":"why-do-pensions-exist-if-the-future-is-discounted","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/?p=1222","title":{"rendered":"Why Do Pensions Exist if the Future is Discounted?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.michaeljamesonmoney.com\/2013\/12\/the-third-rail.html\">In today&#8217;s post at Michael James on Money, he mentions that we can&#8217;t extend generous government pensions to everyone<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s something that I&#8217;ve never really understood: how is it that there are so many defined benefit pension plans? The news seems to be full of stories of underfunded pensions (another one today about Canada Post&#8217;s), and while I can see the logic that led to underfunding, due to the management of the plan and various incentives, I&#8217;m amazed that the plans <em>exist at all<\/em>. The issue is that people are terrible discounters of the future. I would think it should be easy to convince someone to take a minor increase in pay now over a future pension obligation. I would also think that the individual workers would be <em>worse <\/em>at that kind of math than the corporations and governments employing them. <\/p>\n<p>Yet pensions exist, so what&#8217;s wrong with this thinking?<\/p>\n<p>Perhaps an additional factor to future discounting is uncertainty: having a pension means people don&#8217;t need to wade into the dark waters of investing: their future will be taken care of, and that certainty (and service of freeing workers from saving and investing on their own) might trump their over-discounting of future payoffs.<\/p>\n<p>Or maybe the <em>organizations <\/em>suffer from the discounting more than I had thought. Perhaps the present seems so make-or-break that they figure if they don&#8217;t keep current costs low (and thus make expensive future promises), they won&#8217;t be around to have to deal with the pension. It could be a dissociation between the organization and those negotiating in the present: the elected officials or car company negotiators figure they won&#8217;t be around when the bill comes due, so make some deals that are cheap in the short term.<\/p>\n<p>If the certainty is a large factor in making workers value pensions, that might present an interesting opportunity and psychological approach for helping people think about their future selves and save\/invest more on their own.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In today&#8217;s post at Michael James on Money, he mentions that we can&#8217;t extend generous government pensions to everyone. Here&#8217;s something that I&#8217;ve never really understood: how is it that there are so many defined benefit pension plans? The news seems to be full of stories of underfunded pensions (another one today about Canada Post&#8217;s), [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1222"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1222"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1222\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1222"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1222"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1222"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}