{"id":2447,"date":"2021-01-07T21:15:28","date_gmt":"2021-01-08T02:15:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/?p=2447"},"modified":"2021-01-07T21:15:28","modified_gmt":"2021-01-08T02:15:28","slug":"on-lags-and-exponential-growth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/?p=2447","title":{"rendered":"On Lags and Exponential Growth"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ontario hit 89 daily Covid deaths today. We could lockdown tonight, go full Wuhan and weld peoples&#8217; doors shut, and it wouldn&#8217;t stop us from hitting 100\/day by next week &#8212; those people already have the virus, it&#8217;s just taking time for them to get sick and die. [<em>Though I&#8217;d be happy for the universe&#8217;s constant need to prove me wrong to kick in here and save a bunch of lives as this turns out to have been the peak<\/em>]<\/p>\n<p>Lags make it hard to manage things, especially when that management also involves really hard decisions. It&#8217;s hard to call for a lockdown when cases are barely into triple digits. But that&#8217;s when it has to happen when you only have a few hundred spare ICU beds in the province. Ah well, back to home schooling for at least a few weeks now, though I still don&#8217;t actually know what the plan is. Is it Covid-zero? <\/p>\n<p>And of course <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Ix2XprA6A7I\">this<\/a> is also why we wanted to start curbing the growth in greenhouse gas emissions <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Kyoto_Protocol\">in the 90s<\/a>&#8230; or now, I suppose.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ontario hit 89 daily Covid deaths today. We could lockdown tonight, go full Wuhan and weld peoples&#8217; doors shut, and it wouldn&#8217;t stop us from hitting 100\/day by next week &#8212; those people already have the virus, it&#8217;s just taking time for them to get sick and die. [Though I&#8217;d be happy for the universe&#8217;s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2447"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2447"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2447\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2448,"href":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2447\/revisions\/2448"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2447"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2447"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.holypotato.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2447"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}