The 2009 Budget — Where’s My Shinkansen?

January 31st, 2009 by Potato

Well the opposition coalition seems to have lost its will to run the country, which is unfortunate because then it makes Stephen Harper’s whining to the GG and setting the country adrift work. The new version of the budget is out, and it doesn’t wow me.

I reluctantly agree that a monumental stimulus package is probably needed to keep this recession from snowballing into a depression, and that going into deficit, temporarily, is probably needed. However, I can’t wrap my head around the amount of money we’re forecasted to miss out on. A lot of it is due to lack of tax revenue (you don’t pay taxes if you don’t make any money) rather than spending, but still, where’s the grand stimulus?

Where’s the reintroduction of the green car feebate to stimulate auto sales? Instead we get some vague restructuring of car loans. Where’s the grand vision, the infrastructure spending to not only get bodies working, but also to lay the roots of a better society when we come out of this? In short, where’s my Windsor-Quebec Shinkansen???

Universities, never exactly rolling in the dough even in good times, are finding things are seriously tight as their endowments have been decimated by the stock market (and real estate) crash. PhD comics pointed out that academia is often a refuge for those who would otherwise go into engineering or business or the real world in general: spend a few years in grad school below the poverty line (but at least with some kind of income) and wait the recession out. However, this time there doesn’t look to be the capacity there. I’m pretty sure our department is shrinking, and will shrink more next year as many supervisors seem to not have the funds to take on students. The US is throwing more money at this, specifically towards graduate fellowships, so why nothing from our government?

I did like seeing the duration of EI benefits increase. To my thinking, EI should be automatically scaled to the unemployment rate: as the job market gets tougher EI should automatically extend a few weeks/months to reflect the fact that people need the extra support and that finding a new job is just plain harder; likewise in a hot market EI benefits should be scaled back slightly. Another step I’d like to see is flexibility added to RRSPs: they can continue to tax withdrawls, but the contribution room should be given back, though I don’t think many people in the situation of both having RRSPs and needing to tap them in hard times are terribly worried about losing their tax shelter for future years.

There’s a small rejigging of income tax brackets, leading to a small savings for most Canadians (most of which was already planned to account for inflation), arguably where the previous frittering of the surplus (yes, there was a surplus just a year ago) should have gone, rather than to cutting the GST, though I would have argued it should have all gone to paying the debt from the last recession. The problem with broad-based stimulus packages like this is that the dollars very quickly become diluted: $40 billion spread out amongst 30 million-some Canadians comes out to something like $1300 each. That’s not something I’d sneeze at… but it is easy enough to have that disappear in a family budget, especially after a summer of record high gas and food prices, or to vanish into savings*. To get the economy rolling again a big kick is needed to specific areas that will, hopefully, get those going and lead the way for the economy as a whole, rather than spreading a small amount of love around everywhere. Of course, this isn’t a video game and the recession monster’s weak point isn’t flashing neon orange telling us where to hit it. The banking and auto sectors might be good ones to try to prop up/nationalize — banks in particular are needed to supply credit to grease the wheels of the recovery. However the budget also contains a lot of measures targetting home ownership: renovation credits (which might be as much about getting contractors to issue receipts and file taxes), and changes to help get first-time homebuyers into the market with a modest increase to the HBP and a tax savings of up to $750 for a purchase. I don’t think trying to prop up the housing bubble here is going to help the economy. In fact, more money sunk into houses/mortgages by first-time buyers is less money out there circulating in the economy. These are also poor measures because they can’t even focus spending in one area in a focused way: there are at least 3 different ways of trying to stimulate housing rather than that one big kick.

I’m also a fan of the targetted big kick for infrastructure because then the country gets something it might need/want anyway at rock-bottom recession make-work prices. Take $40B, heck raise the GST back to 7% while at it and make it $60B or whatever, and build a shinkansen in Ontario, a few hospitals in BC, some nuclear plants in Alberta, some wind farms in Saskatchewan, carve a whole new riverbed and hydro project through Manitoba, create a shinkansen network in Ontario and Quebec, covered bridges for NB, some tidal energy projects for NS, and a teaching hospital for NFL, then have PEI build a 50-storey phallic fucking tower just because they can. You know, at least that way you get something to show for your stimulus money.

* - Savings are great things to have on an individual level. However, as a country as a whole we should be doing our saving during the boom years, and then tapping the savings during downturns to help stabilize everything — stimulus packages that just go straight to savings just make recessions worse. I’ve seen some recommendations that stimulus gift cards be sent out: something that you have to spend (though that wouldn’t necessarily stop people from then saving the equivalent amount somewhere else).

Economics of the Do Not Call List

January 30th, 2009 by Potato

There’s one thing that’s been bugging me for a long time about telemarketing: how does it work? That is, how is it remotely profitable for companies to hire people, even below-minimum-wage offshore workers, to call people in their homes to sell them things? The theory is of course that a lot of the attempts will fail, but a few will succeed. This works for spam email: all it takes is one stupid son of a bitch in a hundred thousand to fall for the spam and it’s worthwhile, because sending spam is essentially free (especially these days with zombie botnets responsible for much of the load). I have trouble believing that the latest generation of spam ever works — random character strings without any kind of message, sometimes an image without a link — but that might be as much about de-training filters as it is about sales. Ditto for comment spam.

However human telemarketers have to get paid. Even if they’re only paid $5/hour, they’d probably only be able to pitch to 100 or so people an hour. How much is a hit worth to those hiring them? Rogers calls me once a month, at least, so it’s not even like they’re reaching 100 unique people each hour. What would their success rate have to be to make this a worthwhile venture? That depends partly on what landing a moron is worth — if getting a new subscriber to home phone is only worth $5 to Rogers (or the call centre), then they need to land one every hour, or every 100 attempts, but at $50 then it’s “only” one in 1000. Me, I have a hard time believing that telemarketing has anywhere close to a 1 in 1000 success rate. I have a policy — and everyone who hates telemarketing should too — that I will not, under any circumstances, buy something from a telemarketer. That handy policy also helps protect you from a large amount of fraud. Even for those who don’t, is having someone calling you during dinner to pitch the same thing you just got 3 direct mailings and saw 15 TV ads about going to suddenly change your mind? Who is telemarketing going to work on that those other cheaper, less annoying methods of marketing won’t?

To get telemarketing to stop, all we have to do is make it not worth their while, to bring the success rate down below about 0.1% (or even below 1%). I would have guessed that it was already below that… but according to a quick Google search, it’s actually above 5%, which just blows my mind. [Sorry, no references that appeared valid/unbiased enough to cite]

The Do Not Call List sounds like a decent idea on the surface, but unfortunately it’s been reported that signing up might not really help you, and that offshore telemarketers might have taken the list so now people who signed up are getting called more. Me, I found a slight decrease in calls after signing up, but I already had a lot of telemarketers calling my (listed) home line. I did not sign up my cell phone, since I figured that the list getting leaked was a possibility, and there were already very few people who called that number, so why bother? If you’re not presently swamped by calls, don’t sign your number up.

Anyhow, a post in the Freakonomics blog rang true with me: this has to be the worst list to steal/buy. Even if the do-not-call list doesn’t work through its original intended fashion (using the law to stop telemarketers), it should still work in an economics fashion: this is a list of people who don’t want to be called. If you call them, they will likely not buy your shit. In fact, they’re people who were aware enough of the telemarketing issue to go out of their way to sign up for a do-not-call list, and so they’ll probably be pissed if you do call. Stealing this list and calling people on it should be expected to lose money for the underhanded telemarketer. The Canadian do-not-call list is full of loopholes, for charities and political parties for example. If any of those excepted companies call, remind them that you’re on the do-not-call list. If they say that they’re an exception, then tell them that you don’t care about the legalities, but rather that you won’t give your money to an organization dumb enough to waste resources calling people who don’t want to be called.

On the other hand, some commenters in that post indicated that the do not call list is just the opposite: a collection of people who are gullible and vulnerable to telemarketers, so they need the protection of that list, or at the very least it is a list of working numbers answered by humans… making it the perfect list of people to call.

TD LoC Fee

January 30th, 2009 by Potato

In a brazen move, TD has introduced an inactivity fee for unsecured lines of credit, and apparently is also pushing through a rate increase. Despite having a LoC at TD myself, I haven’t received any notification of this from TD yet.

From a customer care point of view, the inactivity fee is bad optics — LoCs were marketed as accounts with no fees that would be there when you needed them, that you could open and have just in case… then bam! as soon as the economy starts to sour and people might actually need to use them, they get pricey. The fee is targeting those people who don’t need the credit and so are arguably the smallest credit risk! Personally, I’d be more annoyed at a rate hike since the fee is easy enough to get around (move money out for a day, put it back in the next, pay a cent in interest, and you save the $35 fee).

But like many things going on these days, I don’t think this is exactly what it appears on the surface. This to me is a fee that will never be collected. It’s unfortunate that they’ve chosen to do things this way, but this fee has been designed to infuriate people into closing their inactive LoCs. TD wasn’t making any money from people who weren’t actively borrowing and racking up interest charges, but they had to keep some capital reserve on hand in case they did. And lately they (and the other banks) have had to raise capital at some pretty costly rates to shore up their ratios, and the big increase in default rates coming down the pipeline hasn’t even hit yet. So it just made sense to try to convince those people to close their accounts, and a “eat shit and have a nice day now” letter in the mail is one way to achieve that. Heck, just look at the number of people around the blogosphere closing their LoCs in outrage. Of course if they do find a need for that loan, they’ll have to reapply from scratch, and the rates offered nowadays can’t be pretty. After three rounds of negotiations with TD last summer I managed to get Prime+1% on an unsecured LoC — I doubt I could get that on a secured loan these days.

Edit: And just as I get around to posting this after writing it two days ago, I find out that TD has cancelled their plans for the fee, citing negative feedback. I suppose I was at least correct in that this was a fee that would never be collected.

More Troubles At Chalk River

January 29th, 2009 by Potato

From today’s Globe and Mail:

Two recent leaks at the aging Canadian nuclear reactor that produces most of the world’s medical isotopes have heightened concerns about the unit’s safety - and the willingness of officials to raise a flag when things go wrong.

A small amount of radioactive tritium was released into the air, and about 50 kilograms of heavy water spilled into the sump below the reactor. “There was never any harm or impact to the employees or the community,” Mr. Coffin said.

“Of course, is the nuclear safety commission going to shut down that reactor for safety after what happened a year ago?” asked Mr. Bennett. “The people responsible for safety are afraid to shut it down because the last time they held up production, their president got fired.”

[emphasis mine].

This is a fairly minor issue at Chalk river, at least about as minor as you can get when you’re talking about a five decade old nuclear reactor. Things are probably still safe enough to continue Moly-99 production, for now. But the fact is Stephen Harper’s inept partisan ham-handedness last year has hurt the ability of the CNSC to do its job, and hurt the public’s perception of nuclear safety in Canada.

Hey, speaking of ancient reactors critical to nuclear medicine procedures all over the world, wouldn’t that be a great way to spend a few billion dollars to stimulate the economy? [Ok, actually it wouldn’t really help much because it would take years before any bulk construction was done, unless they just tried the same old MAPLE or NRU design again, but nonetheless, there’s still no succession plan in place…]

Selling A Car

January 29th, 2009 by Potato

And to dovetail nicely with my last post on buying a car for the first time, Baum has recently decided to sell his car. Since this is another major transaction I’ve never done on my own, I shot him off a few interview questions which he graciously took the time to answer for me:

What made you decide to sell?

When my girlfriend and I moved in together we each had a car, we rented a place right by the subway, so I decided to give it a year and see how much we needed two cars, after that year I only put 3000km on my car and partiality due to the fact that when we’d go out sometimes we’d take her car, and sometimes we’d walk or take transit, I noticed I didn’t take my car anywhere for work, and that keeping it was costing me at least $200.00 a month in insurance and parking at the apartment, not to mention gas and maintenance costs.

How do you plan to get along without it? As I understand it, you can share a car with your serious long-term special live-in girlfriend. Has there ever been a time in the recent past where you needed both cars?

serious - long term - special… heheheh

not really, nothing dire it was more we we’re both driving to a location for convenience and I’m sure that with planning and some flexibility on both our parts, we can work this out, also I will be looking into a car sharing program like auto share or zip car when the time comes.

What steps have you taken towards selling?

I purchased the used vehicle information package (government mandated), gave it a car wash took some pictures, and posted it on craigslist, I’m not in any rush to sell the car at the moment so I’m doing the minimum

What tools are you going to use to determine the fair value of your car?

I’ve checked around on the internet to see what the car is going for, and decided what it would take to let me give up my car.

I understand you’re selling it yourself, where have you decided to advertise?

Craigslist, I’ve used it in the past to move some merchandise I like the interface

Have you considered using Autotrader.ca? [Full disclosure: I own shares in YLO]

No, I’m going to use the free sites first I’m not so keen on spending money on the listing I’d rather put it into the car to help it sell [full disclosure: sorry if this stops other people from using Autotrader.ca thus making your stock worth less, but I’m cheep]

What does someone selling a car on their own need to know? How do you transfer the ownership? How do you collect and pay the taxes? How do you protect against fraud? What sort of safety certifications are needed? Who pays for that?

Ownership needs to be transferred at the MTO, they will collect the taxes, directly from the purchaser. To protect against fraud I’ve decided that I will only deal with money orders or certified cheques. The car will need to pass an Etest and get a safety certificate from an authorized mechanic, as for who pays for that I’m willing to negotiate when the time comes. Also an aforementioned used vehicle package is required it provides the perspective buyer with information such us past owners, accidents reported, and the suggested wholesale and retail prices bases on the cars “black book” value and it is their right in Ontario to ask to see this before they purchase any used car.

Ok, thanks Baum!

Buying a Car

January 23rd, 2009 by Potato

A friend from work has decided to buy a car, and since it’s a big purchase and one I haven’t ever made all on my own before, I decided to shoot her a little interview to see what’s going through her mind as she makes the decision:

So, here it is in mid-January 2009 and you are, if I’m up-to-date, at the point where you’re certain you’re going to get a car, and a new one at that, but are still deciding on the make/model, etc.

What made you decide you wanted a car?

It was kind of spontaneous: my parents just said we should go car shopping while I was back in Ottawa. I never thought about it before that. Plus now I can afford it, once I looked at it from the point of view of getting a car I realized I do have the savings to afford one; I’m graduating soon, too, so it should get easier to afford even if it’s a little painful in the short-term. Also, surprise!, I already bought a Matrix! I haven’t picked it up yet, but it’s ordered and done.

Why now? You have, after all, gotten along through most of your PhD without one, why not put it off a few more months until you’re done?

The car will move with me; I can afford it now, and am near the end. I could get more (leather interior, etc) if I waited until I had a “real job”, but I don’t really need that stuff anyway.

What are you looking for in a car? Is it looks, feel, features, price?

Something to take me places with air conditioning. Something comfortable and safe.

What cars have you looked at so far? What was it that struck you most about each model (whether good or bad)?

– Yaris: noisy, unsafe feeling, small… it felt like a toy. It would be find as a second car in the city, but I wouldn’t want it as my only car

– Fit: liked it a lot better, lots of storage, but it was still pretty small.

– Civic: Looking for a hatchback, and the Civic didn’t have one. Other than that liked the civic with 4-doors (hated the 2-door).

– Matrix: Was a hatchback, was larger and felt safer. I liked the feel of it, it felt comfortable to drive, I could picture myself in the car.

At one point, you were considering a mid-sized car such as the Toyota Matrix. At that point I put forth the argument (backed by several spreadsheets) that once you were up to that point, a Prius would make a lot of sense from a financial as well as ecological, larger-backseat, and pure awesomeness standpoint (not only can you sneak up on people, you can also power your house in an ice storm). However, you have not been swayed by my logic yet. Why is that? What concerns linger?

The up-front cost was higher, and I just didn’t have the extra money now. Buying a car is a gamble, and your analysis was looking at gas prices staying the same or going up, what if they go down? Plus I don’t plan on keeping my car for 10 years, so who knows what might happen to the resale value (I know you say that right now the hybrid premium can be passed on in resale, but who knows?). Also I’m not 100% convinced about the long-term reliability. I know you told me about how long it’s supposed to last and the current failure rate and all, but who knows, maybe after 8 years that suddenly takes a dive?
Your spreadsheets didn’t convince me.

:P To quote Jonathan Chevreau, did you read them?

So how long do you plan on keeping your car?

I don’t make long-term plans, I have no idea. Less than 10 years.

If you don’t want to commit to a car for a long-term, why not lease?

I don’t like the idea of having to keep the car to their terms, stick to mileage limits. I can do whatever the hell I want with it.

I know you’ve talked to a few people about this decision, what sorts of advice have you been getting? Anything worth passing on?

–He did try to sell me the extended warranty, it was helpful to know that you can wait until the end of the 3-year factory warranty before you really have to make that decision.
–The recommendation to check out the APA was helpful (just dropping their name helped even though I didn’t sign up).
–Advice about the repair costs of different brands from word-of-mouth helped me see that some of the American cars were not great bargains.
–Some maintenance tips from the guys.
–Financing vs. leasing issues were cleared up by some friends.

Aside from word-of-mouth, what resources have you found helpful?

Magazines; lemonaide at the library; websites for car reviews and feedback.

How are you planning on driving it? (That is, will it be for a daily commute in heavy traffic, or weekend jaunties on the highways and backroads, a combination? Do you have an estimate of how many kilometers per year you’ll rack up? (For reference, I drive just about 20 Mm/year, which is about the national average)

Occasionally on weekends, driving to Toronto and Guelph. No idea if I’ll commute to work when I graduate, but it’s a possibility.

Ok, so I see how not really knowing your driving profile would make filling out my hybrid spreadsheets hard :)

How are you planning on paying for it?

Purchase financing through the dealer (Toyota had promotional interest rates below what I could find at the banks). Large downpayment from my savings.

How are you planning on negotiating? Have you considered a pre-negotiating service such as the APA (apa.ca)?

Negotiated by myself with the dealer. Did mention the APA even though I hadn’t done it, that helped bring it down. They had a $500 gas card promotion, which I had them apply to the car right away rather than risk misplacing the gas card. I walked away, telling them I was going to check out another dealer, and I really talked up the Honda Fit while I was negotiating for the Matrix. I came back a few days later after thinking about it; he did offer more when I said I was going to look at the Fit.

Have you got any insurance quotes yet? How did they vary by model and company?

Yes, I called around myself. The best rate was through my alumni association. I called every bank I’m associated with and did an internet search. It helped that I had a history of being an occasional driver on my parents’ car for years.

Do you have any advice to pass on?

Test drive. Get on the highway to see what it’s like with the big trucks blowing by you.

Ok, congrats on the car!

Bronte Capital

January 21st, 2009 by Potato

I’ve started reading a blog with a horrendous eye-puking colour scheme called Bronte Capital, by John Hempton. Why do I subject myself to 4.5″ of column lost in a 12″ sea of green? (actually, these days I just read the RSS feed in Thunderbird) Because he writes about a lot of interesting (to me) macro-economic issues, in particular bank failures. To paraphrase a number of his posts, the banking crisis was started with some bad bets, some opaque financial instruments, and a poor sense of risk management and risk correlation (the odds of improbable losses all occurring together). But this was a fixable problem. What has happened is the bad bets, the subprime loans etc., have spiraled out into a crisis of confidence in the banking sector. Nobody knows who is and isn’t solvent, and lending between banks dried up. As runs on banks happen, governments are forced to step in with bailouts before the house of cards comes crashing down even further.

So it was a recent post of his that made a point that stuck in my mind: “[In many cases,] the processes are as important as the outcome. Indeed, they are more important. Markets work because we have a legal process.” When it’s not clear whether or not a bank is actually insolvent, yet the government decides to step in, unasked, and nationalize it on a Sunday afternoon, wiping out the bondholders (as well as the equity holders, where that risk is more explicit), and then next week acts completely differently for the next bank, it makes things very unclear. The markets (both stock and debt) can price in risks and defaults and bad loans, but the random acts of government are chaos. If investors can’t even begin to guess at how much something might be worth and whether the government will wipe them out, they’ll stay away.

Indeed, it was this exact problem that really raised my ire when Harper and Flaherty decided to make a 180 degree turn, breaking their election promise to tax income trusts. If it’s necessary, then you’ve got to hammer the market with data showing that’s the case. A phone book sized report full of evidence should have landed on the desk of every trust investor in the country explaining why it was absolutely critical to flip-flop and tax trusts, and explaining the process of that decision, and how it was absolutely justified, and followed a process of due consideration and laying the groundwork for people to anticipate any further moves so that investors never feel blindsided. Now the clowns in blue are at it again, trying to speed up the auto bailout. As though the bailouts and mortgage buy-backs weren’t ad-hoc enough, it’s very strange and troubling to read that the government is the one lighting a fire under the auto companies to take government money. WTF?

So far Canada’s banks seem to have avoided the worst mis-steps of the rest of the world. Indeed, I own some shares of them, so I’m hopeful things will pull through all right. But it’s time for someone at the government to sit down and draft some rules — hopefully ones that will never be needed — guiding a potential nationalization so that we don’t follow in the footsteps of the US. Heck, draft some rules for bailouts, nationalizations, and infrastructure boosts for other sectors as well so that people can know what to expect.

…and just as I was writing this up, along comes an article that says the Canadian government is taking steps to change the rules to allow it to own shares in banks. I find this a little troubling, actually. First off, Flaherty has shown no foresight in anything he’s ever done, which makes me worry that Canadian banks are closer to needing a handout than they’ve previously let on. Indeed, they all just did a fairly expensive round of fund-raising, ostensibly to boost capital levels well above the minimums to give investors some peace of mind, but now I’m starting to wonder if desperate times are nigh. Also, no mention is made of due process or deciding when or how the government will take a stake, which was the biggest point John Hempton had to make. I am invested in the Canadian banks, with rather huge paper losses, but I’m hanging in on the hopes that they will avoid the worst of this banking “thing”, and my investment will turn around. I’ve had some heartburn over the last year, and had to re-check the dividend yields a few times to stay the course, but now I’m having serious thoughts about bailing. After all, I have been far too optimistic all along. I was wrong about other banks: this time last year I was looking at Citi (I didn’t buy), and I figured that they got ahead of the credit troubles by raising cash early, even though the initial stock sale at $25 seemed like a steep discount at the time. Now they’re floundering. I was wrong about the extent of the troubles (and pessimism about said troubles) for the Canadian banks: I’m down 35% on those, and that was after waiting until I felt most of the bad news was “priced in” to buy…

URL Handling Troubles

January 21st, 2009 by Potato

I don’t know what’s changed behind the scenes, but it looks like my domain host is no longer handling the URL forwarding for my site properly. It used to be that it would forward the holypotato.com part to [MY_IP]/blog which would allow you to add on the location of any particular post [ /?p=XXX ] to create a link for any particular page. It was a little annoying (couldn’t just cut and paste from the address bar), but it worked at least. Now though, things are all screwy and that’s not working. More importantly, my hidden/administrative subdomains [ xxx.holypotato.com ] that I used to direct me to certain parts of the site for admin stuff or my own personal file bank home-away-from-home are also taking me to the main page, which is bad. So far that’s annoying but not critical — reading, commenting, and as you can see, authoring are all still working fine. The RSS feeds (which oddly enough do use the same URL structure as trying to link to a specific page) appear to still work.

I’m working on seeing what I can do — bear with me, especially if the site goes dead for a little while while I fiddle.

Update: Ok, I know what’s changed behind the scenes. Domain Direct, part of TuCows, who used to be, way way back in the day in league with Rogers (or took over a registrar that was), where I bought the holypotato.com domain from originally, has been shut down and its operations taken over by Hover, another part of TuCows with substantially inferior service. Everyone on the support forums is complaining that the redirection to individual pages isn’t working. Just logging in to the support forums took 20 minutes. So it doesn’t look like there’s going to be an easy fix for this from them, which means it’s probably time to go host shopping again.

Update Jan 23/09: At first Hover tried to pass this off by saying that “page-level redirection” was a premium service that not many people wanted, and consolidating the Domain Direct and other registrars meant cutting some fat… but after a number of people complained about it, it appears to be mostly fixed (I’m still having an issue with the favicon, but I can live with that).

City of Ember

January 19th, 2009 by Potato

I have a soft spot in my heart for post-apocalyptic science fiction, and City of Ember fits the bill. It’s a suitable-for-children adventure story, set in a city built beneath the ground to shelter the remnants of humanity from an unnamed horror on the surface. Whether it was nuclear war or some other catastrophe, the builders expected that after a certain amount of time — 200 years — the surface should be safe to return to, and included instructions for escaping the city in a box handed down from mayor to mayor over the years. Unfortunately, an untimely death broke the chain along the way, and the knowledge was lost. Centuries and generations pass beneath the ground, and things are starting to fall apart in Ember. The great generator that keeps the beacon of light and hope in the darkness running is breaking down, more and more knowledge is lost, spare parts have run out, and everything has just been reused and repaired too many times. The city is old and tired and falling apart and is little more than patches on top of patches.

So far the premise sounds like Fallout: the movie, which would be awesome. In this case the adventure is all about uncovering the builders’ hidden instructions for leaving the city, and the kids’ struggle against the city elders, and less about adapting to the super mutant filled wastes outside.

The movie is surprisingly good, especially the visual effects of the underground city. I thought the cobblestone roads didn’t seem quite worn down enough, but otherwise it looked great. Everyone seemed to give a good performance, even the child actors. I did have to scratch my head towards the end when the older children inexplicably grabbed the 3-year-old to come on their incredibly dangerous, illegal adventure with them, but oh, well. It was good, and so I have a lot of trouble understanding why I haven’t heard anything about this movie. Where was the advertising saturation? I don’t even recall seeing it in the movie listings back in October (when IMDB says it was released).

Xbox Media Centre

January 19th, 2009 by Potato

Well, I’ve got the Xbox all hooked up to the TV now, and Tversity running on my PC. I had no end of trouble trying to make it work at my parents’ house (I was in Toronto when I picked up the Xbox 360), with the Xbox connected via a wire to the router, and the computer with Tversity running over the wireless. But back at home with both the Xbox and the PC on a wired connection everything was up and running smoothly right away. I can stream files from my computer to the xbox, and they look great. If I had a high-def TV they’d probably look even better. I am having a minor problem with a few codecs, but since it’s only for one or two files I’m going to try forcing transcoding later to see how that works, and if that fails I’ll have to reinstall the codecs. One other minor annoyance is that there are a lot of default folders in the Tversity view on the Xbox, only one of which actually has content. It would be nice if I could get the Xbox to default to that one folder to start with.

Other than that though it’s working fantastic as a media streamer, well worth the money for that capability I think. I’m also gaming a little bit on it — I haven’t really enjoyed Lego Indiana Jones that came with it, but I got Gears of War 2 previously played from Rogers Video for $20, and I’m enjoying the use of cover in that shooter. My one-month trial to Xbox Live is just about over and I haven’t gamed multiplayer at all, so I suppose I’ll have to give that a shot soon. It seems like a really expensive system to game on: the Xbox Live subscription is $5/month normally (though Amazon has the 13-month card on for $52+tx right now); it’s another $60 for a second controller or guitar controller (and $200 for Rock Band), and even the “cheap” Xbox Live arcade games (like Castle Crashers) are $20.